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President Donald Trump’s executive order will inject trillions of dollars into the crypto market and make a $200K Bitcoin price target look conservative, potentially upending BTC’s four-year cycle.
That’s according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan, who said in a report that the order’s push for regulatory clarity and institutional adoption could extend Bitcoin’s bull market beyond its usual four-year pattern.
Hougan said the order is ”incredibly bullish” for the crypto space because it makes growing the digital asset market a top priority and will set up a clear regulatory framework for that.
It also discusses creating a “national crypto stockpile” that, combined with the SEC’s pro-crypto stance, would allow major Wall Street banks and investors to enter the market.
“The full mainstreaming of crypto—the one contemplated by Trump’s executive order, where banks custody crypto alongside other assets, stablecoins are integrated broadly into the global payments ecosystem, and the largest institutions establish positions in crypto—I’m convinced will bring trillions,” said Hougan.
Donald Trump’s Crypto Order Could Change Bitcoin’s Traditional 4-Year Cycle
Bitcoin typically follows a four-year cycle consisting of three years of bull markets followed by one year of a bear market.
🚨 NEW: Trump’s recent crypto executive order could disrupt the crypto market’s four-year boom and bust cycle that it has seen over the last decade, says Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan in his latest weekly memo.
“I expect volatility, but I’m not sure I’d bet against crypto in 2026,” pic.twitter.com/i19PJq6goT
— Phantom (@DigitalPhantom0) January 30, 2025
The current cycle began in 2023, after the major market crashes of 2022, caused by scandals and failures, such as FTX, Three Arrows Capital, Genesis, BlockFi, and Celsius.
Bitwise Says Crypto Pullbacks Will Be Shorter And Less Severe
Despite the latest changes or developments in the crypto space, Hougan thinks that the Bitcoin market might still follow the 4-year cycle:
“Leverage will build up as the bull market builds,” he said. “Excess will appear. Bad actors will emerge. And at some point, there could be a sharp pullback when the market gets over its skis.”
Hougan concluded by saying that any pullback in the crypto market will likely be shorter and shallower than in previous years. He attributes this to the maturation of the crypto space, with a broader range of buyers and more value-oriented investors:
“I expect volatility, but I’m not sure I’d bet against crypto in 2026,” he said.
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