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Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Faces $2.7 Billion Outflow Threat On Bitcoin ETF Conversion That May Trigger Severe Bitcoin Price Drop: JPMorgan

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Grayscale Bitcoin ETF
Grayscale Bitcoin ETF

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The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) may see outflows of $2.7 billion if it is converted into a spot Bitcoin ETF (exchange-traded fund), potentially putting ”severe downward pressure” on the Bitcoin price, JPMorgan said.

It says GBTC has attracted about $2.7 billion this year from investors attracted to it by its deep discount to net asset value and in anticipation of its conversion to a spot Bitcoin product.

“Assuming this buying flow was mostly speculative in anticipation of GBTC being converted to an ETF, then it is likely that this $2.7b would come out of GBTC as these investors take profit once GBTC gets converted,” said analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. ”If this $2.7 billion exits completely the Bitcoin space then such an outflow would of course put severe downward pressure on Bitcoin prices.”

Funds May Shift To Newly Created Spot Bitcoin ETF Products

Still, Panigirtzoglou said JPMorgan’s best guess is that most of the money shifts into newly created spot Bitcoin ETFs after approval, thus making the market impact more modest.

Amid anticipation over the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, some investors are considering products leveraged to the approval like Bitcoin ETF Token ($BTCETF). It’s already raised $1.58 million in presale and sells for $0.0058.

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